What does it take for a successful election?
Over at Dean’s World, Dean repeats Weekend Pundit‘s question: How long after the Iraqi election before the New York Times proclaims them either a sham or a disaster?
In the course of the comments, though, the question changed. Assuming the MSM will declare the elections illegitimate no matter what, what would it take for you to truly believe they’re illegitimate?
I responded:
As others have pointed out, the MSM has more or less already decided that the elections are a sham/disaster, and I don’t see them changing their minds, though I’d love to be wrong on that.
The way I see it, the only way this election can be illegitimate is if there’s evidence of widespread fraud.
Supposing, say, that only 10% of the population shows up in the “safe” (relatively speaking) areas, and 5% shows up in the “unsafe” ones, that’s still better representation than the Iraqi people have ever gotten before.
The goal here shouldn’t be to make this a perfect election, though we obviously want it to be as good as possible. A truly independent, free Iraq in which the people have a say in the country (through a representative system, most likely, not a true democracy) isn’t going to happen overnight, and I don’t think anyone expects it to. (Though, the pessimists assume the optimists DO expect it, and will use that perception of expectation to condemn the election as a failure.) The fact is, as long as we can lay the groundwork for a better system in the future, I’m happy.
As Steven Den Beste wrote here:
What we are trying to do in the middle East is to make the Arabs stop blaming others, to make them stop thinking of themselves as helpless victims, and to make them face their failure, and to believe that they can become successes if they accept responsibility for their own fate and try to work to improve their situation. It is unlikely that we will initially create a full democracy in Iraq, but even a compromised system may be good enough to lay the seeds for later greatness.
It doesn’t matter if there is a perfect democracy in Iraq five years from now. We will have succeeded if there is a better democracy there in fifty years than there is in five years. We’re not trying to create a democracy in Iraq; what we’re trying to do is to get the Iraqis to want to make their lives better.
I fully expect to hear the Iraqi elections criticized no matter what the outcome is. If one vote is miscounted, or one person turns away from the polls because they’re afraid, the media will condemn the elections as a failure. “Every vote should count,” they’ll cry.
They’re right. Every person of voting age who wishes to vote should have his or her vote counted. The problem is, we don’t live in a world where what “should” happen actually does happen most of the time.
We hope that the elections will go off without the slightest hitch, but the reality is that it won’t happen. We know this because we live in an imperfect world. All we can do is the best we can, and if the Iraqi people get some say in their government, if they begin to understand that only they can take control of their own lives and make things better, we have succeeded.
An Iraqi election in 2005. Five years ago, that would have been unthinkable. Assuming that things don’t completely fall apart, this election will be a crown jewel in Arthur Chrenkoff‘s “Good News From Iraq” series.